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How To Go Far In The Spelling Bee

The Scripps National Spelling Bee returned on Monday with more than 560 spellers. What kinds of words tend to trip spellers up? What are the common pitfalls to look out for? In the video above, we lay...

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Why The Raptors Need To Strike Early

The NBA Finals kick off Thursday night when the Toronto Raptors host the Golden State Warriors in Game 1. Golden State is dealing with several key injuries, and in the video above, FiveThirtyEight...

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The Warriors Dynasty Has Always Depended On Andre Iguodala

After Andre Iguodala hit a game-sealing 3-pointer to help the Golden State Warriors even up the NBA Finals at one game apiece, he found himself in an unfamiliar place: the center of attention. Before a...

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The Americans Who Are Expected To Crush The World Cup

The U.S. women’s national soccer team kicks off its campaign to win its fourth World Cup trophy on Tuesday. Watch the video above to learn about this year’s squad and to find out which players could...

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The Top 5 NBA Draft Prospects, According To The Careers We Think They’ll Have

Zion, Zion, Zion. During the NBA draft on Thursday night, you’ll be hearing a lot about Zion Williamson, the phenom from Duke. But there are other players! FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO player projection...

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What FiveThirtyEight Staff Will Be Looking For During The Debates

Unlike The New York Times, we were not able to get 21 candidates to come into our studio so we could ask them 18 questions. So instead, we did the next best thing. We reached out to ourselves to ask...

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NBA Free Agency Diary: The Battle For L.A.

Dear NBA Diary (in video form!), With both NBA teams in L.A. making moves this summer, we wondered which team would dominate this upcoming season. Will the City of Angels bleed purple and gold? Or will...

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Our Favorite Past Debate Moments

Remember what Lloyd Bentsen said to Dan Quayle back in 1988? Or what Joe Biden said about Rudy Giuliani in 2007? Oh, and remember that one moment from that one debate in 2016? As we get set for another...

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Can You Tell Sports Commentary From Political Punditry? We Couldn’t.

The game was supposed to be simple: I read a quote, you tell me if the quote was from either a sports broadcast or a political discussion about the first two 2020 Democratic debates. Almost every staff...

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The Browns Have Been Better Than Average For Only 10 Weeks In The Last 20 Years

The Cleveland Browns … might actually be good this year? As the season opens, FiveThirtyEight’s NFL forecast thinks there’s a 41 percent chance the Browns will make the playoffs, which is way more...

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Do You Buy That … Warren Is A 2020 Favorite?

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Do You Buy That … Going Too Far Left On Health Care Could Hurt Democrats In...

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Do You Buy That … Texas Could Be A Swing State In 2020?

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Do You Buy That … Tom Steyer Can Break Through?

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Do You Buy That … Fundraising Matters More Than Polling In The 2020 Race?

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Do You Buy That … The Democratic Primary Debates Determine The Nominee?

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Do You Buy That … A Tipping Point Has Been Reached On Support For Gun Control?

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Do You Buy That … Iowa Is A Make-Or-Break State For Democrats?

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Do You Buy That … Trump’s China Tariffs Are A Threat To His Re-Election?

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Do You Buy That … Crowd Size Really Matters?

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